Today / UKS SMS Lodz W vs GKS Katowice W
UKS SMS Lodz W vs GKS Katowice W Prediction
Saturday, May 23, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 46% / xG 1.4-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%
Form & verdict
UKS SMS LODZ W · PPG 1.50
GKS KATOWICE W · PPG 2.30
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.30) vs Home GOOD (1.50)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
UKS SMS Lodz W face GKS Katowice W on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UKS SMS Lodz W a 29% chance, the draw 25% and GKS Katowice W 46%, so GKS Katowice W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for UKS SMS Lodz W and 2.0 for GKS Katowice W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UKS SMS Lodz W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.30 for GKS Katowice W. This match finished 1-2.