Today / VJS vs KPV Kokkola

VJS vs KPV Kokkola Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

VJS
PPG 1.67 · HOME
5 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
KPV Kokkola
PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.67), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-10.9%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.8%1-13.1%1-20.7%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.9%2-15.5%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.7%3-16.3%3-21.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-028.8%4+-113.2%4+-23.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 72.4%
Draw 20.0%
Away win 7.6%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Over 3.5 55.2%
BTTS 46.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 70%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 5-0
xG (home)3.5 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob46.7%

H 72% / xG 3.5-0.5 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 13.7%
#2 2–0 11.9%
#3 4–0 11.9%
#4 5–0 8.2%
#5 1–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VJS3.5
KPV Kokkola0.5

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 55.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VJS · PPG 1.67

KPV KOKKOLA · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.67), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

VJS (H) 72.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
KPV Kokkola (A) 7.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VJS face KPV Kokkola on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VJS a 72% chance, the draw 20% and KPV Kokkola 8%, so VJS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for VJS and 0.5 for KPV Kokkola (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VJS are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.50 for KPV Kokkola. This match finished 5-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org