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Rahmatgonj vs B. Police Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 09:45

Rahmatgonj

PPG 2.13 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

B. Police

PPG 1.63 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-114.3%0-27.1%0-32.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.6%1-113.5%1-26.7%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.4%2-16.4%2-23.2%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.0%3-12.0%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.1% — — —

Draw 32.0% — — —

Away win 33.9% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 13.3% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.6%

D 32% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 14.3%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 0–1 14.3%

#4 1–0 13.6%

#5 0–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rahmatgonj0.9

B. Police1.0

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 13.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RAHMATGONJ · PPG 2.13

B. POLICE · PPG 1.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.13) > Away GOOD (1.63)

Win probability 1X2

Rahmatgonj (H) 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

B. Police (A) 33.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rahmatgonj face B. Police in Bangladesh - Premier League on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rahmatgonj a 34% chance, the draw 32% and B. Police 34%, so Rahmatgonj are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Rahmatgonj and 1.0 for B. Police (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rahmatgonj are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.63 for B. Police. This match finished 0-0.

Rahmatgonj vs B. Police Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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