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Fakirerpool vs PWD Sports Club Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Regular Season - 17 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 09:45

Fakirerpool

PPG 0.63 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

PWD Sports Club

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.88)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-111.3%0-27.8%0-33.6%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.2%1-112.7%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.2%2-17.1%2-24.9%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.9%3-12.7%3-21.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.6% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 38.5% — — —

Over 2.5 47.4% — — —

Over 3.5 24.2% — — —

BTTS 52.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 18%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.2%

A 38% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 8.2%

#3 0–1✓ 11.3%

#4 1–2 8.7%

#5 0–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fakirerpool1.1

PWD Sports Club1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.4% · O3.5 PROB 24.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FAKIRERPOOL · PPG 0.63

PWD SPORTS CLUB · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Fakirerpool (H) 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

PWD Sports Club (A) 38.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fakirerpool face PWD Sports Club in Bangladesh - Premier League on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fakirerpool a 35% chance, the draw 27% and PWD Sports Club 39%, so PWD Sports Club are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Fakirerpool and 1.4 for PWD Sports Club (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fakirerpool are averaging 0.63 points per game versus 0.88 for PWD Sports Club. This match finished 0-1.

Fakirerpool vs PWD Sports Club Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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