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Bashundhara K. vs Fakirerpool Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 09:45

Bashundhara K.

PPG 2.50 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Fakirerpool

PPG 0.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.63) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-11.4%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.2%1-14.5%1-21.2%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-012.6%2-16.9%2-21.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-013.0%3-17.1%3-21.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-021.6%4+-111.7%4+-23.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.5% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 7.9% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 49.1% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.6%

H 72% / xG 3.1-0.5 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 13.0%

#2 2–0 12.6%

#3 4–0 10.0%

#4 1–0 8.2%

#5 3–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bashundhara K.3.1

Fakirerpool0.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 49.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BASHUNDHARA K. · PPG 2.50

FAKIRERPOOL · PPG 0.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.63) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bashundhara K. (H) 71.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fakirerpool (A) 7.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bashundhara K. face Fakirerpool in Bangladesh - Premier League on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bashundhara K. a 72% chance, the draw 21% and Fakirerpool 8%, so Bashundhara K. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Bashundhara K. and 0.5 for Fakirerpool (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bashundhara K. are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.63 for Fakirerpool. This match finished 4-1.

Bashundhara K. vs Fakirerpool Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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