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Fortis vs Brothers Union Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Regular Season - 17 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 09:45

Fortis

PPG 1.88 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Brothers Union

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-17.0%0-22.3%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.1%1-111.1%1-23.6%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.4%2-18.7%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.0%3-14.6%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-12.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.5% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 22.0% — — —

Over 2.5 45.5% — — —

Over 3.5 18.5% — — —

BTTS 48.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.1%

H 52% / xG 1.6-0.6 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.1%

#2 2–0✓ 13.4%

#3 1–1 11.1%

#4 0–0 10.8%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fortis1.6

Brothers Union0.6

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FORTIS · PPG 1.88

BROTHERS UNION · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Fortis (H) 52.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Brothers Union (A) 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fortis face Brothers Union in Bangladesh - Premier League on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fortis a 53% chance, the draw 26% and Brothers Union 22%, so Fortis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Fortis and 0.6 for Brothers Union (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fortis are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.14 for Brothers Union. This match finished 2-0.

Fortis vs Brothers Union Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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