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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 16 Penshurst Park Saturday, May 23, 2026 09:15
St George City logo St George City PPG 1.56
1-2 MISS
Manly Utd logo Manly Utd PPG 0.50
Draw· +1.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.5%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -10.8%
Draw 30.3%
Odds: 3.35 EV: +1.5%
Away 27.1%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -9.6%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.91 -11.8%
Over 3.5 17.2% Odds: 3.30 -25.9%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.70 -16.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

St George City
1.18
Manly Utd
0.98

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 37%
ROI 17.4%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.56) vs P(Home)=42.5%

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