Today / Borneo vs Malut United

Borneo vs Malut United Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Borneo

PPG 2.69 · HOME

7 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Malut United

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-15.1%0-22.8%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-09.1%1-110.1%1-25.6%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.9%2-19.9%2-25.5%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.8%3-16.5%3-23.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-15.0%4+-22.8%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.7% — — —

Draw 24.0% — — —

Away win 24.3% — — —

Over 2.5 59.8% — — —

Over 3.5 36.9% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 7-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.7%

H 52% / xG 2.0-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 8.9%

#4 1–0 9.1%

#5 3–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Borneo2.0

Malut United1.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 36.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BORNEO · PPG 2.69

MALUT UNITED · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.69) vs P(Home)=51.7%

Win probability 1X2

Borneo (H) 51.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Malut United (A) 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Borneo face Malut United on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Borneo a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Malut United 24%, so Borneo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Borneo and 1.1 for Malut United (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Borneo are averaging 2.69 points per game versus 1.56 for Malut United. This match finished 7-1.

Borneo vs Malut United Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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