Today / L. Brno W vs Ostrava W

L. Brno W vs Ostrava W Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

L. Brno W

PPG 1.11 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Ostrava W

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.6%0-23.8%0-32.1%0-4+1.3%1 1-05.3%1-18.8%1-27.3%1-34.1%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.1%2-18.5%2-27.1%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.3%3-15.5%3-24.6%3-32.5%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-14.1%4+-23.4%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.2% — — —

Draw 23.3% — — —

Away win 32.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 48.3% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob62.5%

H 44% / xG 1.9-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

L. Brno W1.9

Ostrava W1.7

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 48.3%

Form & verdict PPG

L. BRNO W · PPG 1.11

OSTRAVA W · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.11) > Away POOR (0.78)

Win probability 1X2

L. Brno W (H) 44.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ostrava W (A) 32.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

L. Brno W face Ostrava W on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives L. Brno W a 44% chance, the draw 23% and Ostrava W 33%, so L. Brno W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for L. Brno W and 1.7 for Ostrava W (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, L. Brno W are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 0.78 for Ostrava W. This match finished 0-4.

L. Brno W vs Ostrava W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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