Today / Plzen U19 vs S. Liberec U19

Plzen U19 vs S. Liberec U19 Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Plzen U19

PPG 1.77 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

S. Liberec U19

PPG 0.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.9%0-20.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-01.8%1-13.2%1-22.8%1-31.7%1-4+1.1%2 2-03.2%2-15.6%2-24.9%2-32.9%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.7%3-16.5%3-25.8%3-33.4%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-07.9%4+-114.0%4+-212.3%4+-37.3%4+-4+4.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.3% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 20.4% — — —

Over 2.5 79.0% — — —

Over 3.5 77.0% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 71%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob66.7%

H 59% / xG 3.5-1.8 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.5%

#2 3–2 5.8%

#3 4–1 5.7%

#4 2–1 5.6%

#5 4–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Plzen U193.5

S. Liberec U191.8

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 77.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PLZEN U19 · PPG 1.77

S. LIBEREC U19 · PPG 0.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.77) vs P(Home)=59.3%

Win probability 1X2

Plzen U19 (H) 59.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Liberec U19 (A) 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Plzen U19 face S. Liberec U19 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Plzen U19 a 59% chance, the draw 20% and S. Liberec U19 20%, so Plzen U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Plzen U19 and 1.8 for S. Liberec U19 (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Plzen U19 are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 0.54 for S. Liberec U19. This match finished 0-0.

Plzen U19 vs S. Liberec U19 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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