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Australia - Queensland Premier League
Regular Season - 12
Saturday, May 23, 2026
08:00
Broadbeach Utd
PPG 2.50
2-0
HIT CS4
Redlands
PPG 1.00
Draw· -1.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
63.2%
Odds: 1.48
EV: -6.5%
Draw
21.1%
Odds: 4.60
EV: -1.8%
Away
15.7%
Odds: 5.00
EV: -12.9%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
63.9%
Odds: 1.25
-20.1%
Over 3.5
58.9%
Odds: 1.65
-2.8%
BTTS
59.7%
Odds: 1.30
-22.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
3-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
3-0
✘
4th
2-0
✔
5th
4-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Broadbeach Utd
3.04
Redlands
1.08
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-20.1%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -20.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=63.2%