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Australia - Queensland Premier League logo Australia flag Australia - Queensland Premier League Regular Season - 12 Saturday, May 23, 2026 08:00
B. Strikers logo B. Strikers PPG 2.50
8-0 MISS
Capalaba logo Capalaba PPG 1.33
Draw· +1.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 64.1%
Odds: 1.35 EV: -13.5%
Draw 21.4%
Odds: 4.80 EV: +1.6%
Away 14.6%
Odds: 6.60 EV: -2.2%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.30 -16.9%
Over 3.5 46.3% Odds: 1.77 -18.1%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.44 -24.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 3-1
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

B. Strikers
2.65
Capalaba
0.85

Model Suggestion

Home -13.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -13.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+1.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=64.1%

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