Today / Shanghai Segend vs Beijing IT

Shanghai Segend vs Beijing IT Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Shanghai Segend
PPG 1.00 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Beijing IT
PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-17.8%0-24.8%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.6%1-111.9%1-27.3%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.4%2-19.1%2-25.6%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.8%3-14.7%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.5%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 46.4%
Draw 26.7%
Away win 26.9%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Over 3.5 30.1%
BTTS 54.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%
#2 2–1 9.1%
#3 0–0 6.3%
#4 1–0 9.6%
#5 2–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shanghai Segend1.5
Beijing IT1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SHANGHAI SEGEND · PPG 1.00

BEIJING IT · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Shanghai Segend (H) 46.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Beijing IT (A) 26.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shanghai Segend face Beijing IT on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shanghai Segend a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Beijing IT 27%, so Shanghai Segend are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Shanghai Segend and 1.2 for Beijing IT (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shanghai Segend are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Beijing IT. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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