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Australia - Queensland Premier League logo Australia flag Australia - Queensland Premier League Regular Season - 12 Saturday, May 23, 2026 07:00
Holland Park H. logo Holland Park H. PPG 1.20
3-2 MISS
SC Wanderers logo SC Wanderers PPG 1.40
Home· +9.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.4%
Odds: 2.40 EV: +9.0%
Draw 23.6%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -7.6%
Away 31.0%
Odds: 2.40 EV: -25.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.45 -7.3%
Over 3.5 46.3% Odds: 2.15 -0.4%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.40 -12.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Holland Park H.
1.90
SC Wanderers
1.60

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+9.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 77%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 35%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

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