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Australia - Western Australia State League 1 logo Australia flag Australia - Western Australia State League 1 Regular Season - 9 UWA Sports Park Saturday, May 23, 2026 07:00
Nedlands logo Nedlands PPG 3.00
3-0 HIT CS4
Murdoch M. logo Murdoch M. PPG 1.20
Over3.5· +22.3% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.3%
Odds: 1.73 EV: +2.6%
Draw 20.3%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -10.1%
Away 20.4%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -17.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.36 -5.1%
Over 3.5 66.1% Odds: 1.85 +22.3%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.33 -16.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 4-1
4th 3-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Nedlands
3.13
Murdoch M.
1.39

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -5.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-5.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=59.3%

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