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Australia - Western Australia State League 1 Saturday, May 23, 2026 07:00 
Gwelup Croatia PPG 1.20 
Kingsley PPG 1.00
Australia - Western Australia State League 1 Saturday, May 23, 2026 07:00 Gwelup Croatia PPG 1.201-2 HIT CS4
Kingsley PPG 1.00Over3.5· +23.7% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
60% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.50 -4.2%
Over 3.5 57.8% Odds: 2.14 +23.7%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.39 -12.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-2 ✘
4th 1-2 ✔
5th 3-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Gwelup Croatia 2.08
Kingsley 1.99
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -4.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-4.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
BALANCED 60%
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.00)