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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 16 Ernie Smith Reserve Saturday, May 23, 2026 07:00
SD Raiders logo SD Raiders PPG 1.00
VS PENDING
Sydney FC B logo Sydney FC B PPG 1.17
Away· +8.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.9%
Odds: 2.30 EV: -24.3%
Draw 24.5%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -7.1%
Away 42.5%
Odds: 2.55 EV: +8.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.62 -0.5%
Over 3.5 41.5% Odds: 2.50 +3.8%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.50 -10.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

SD Raiders
1.44
Sydney FC B
1.84

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -0.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -0.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+8.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

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