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SD Raiders vs Sydney FC B Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Saturday, May 23, 2026, 07:00

SD Raiders

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sydney FC B

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-16.9%0-26.4%0-33.9%0-4+2.7%1 1-05.4%1-110.0%1-29.2%1-35.6%1-4+3.9%2 2-03.9%2-17.2%2-26.6%2-34.0%2-4+2.8%3 3-01.9%3-13.4%3-23.2%3-31.9%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.7%4+-21.6%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.9% 43.5% 2.30 -24.3%

Draw 24.5% 27.8% 3.60 -7.1%

Away win 42.5% 39.2% 2.55 +8.4%

Over 2.5 61.4% 61.7% 1.62 -0.5%

Over 3.5 41.5% 40.0% 2.50 +3.8%

BTTS 59.7% 66.7% 1.50 -10.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 111 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -14.0%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob59.7%

A 42% / xG 1.4-1.8 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SD Raiders1.4

Sydney FC B1.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 41.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SD RAIDERS · PPG 1.00

SYDNEY FC B · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

SD Raiders (H) 32.9%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -24.3%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -7.1%

Sydney FC B (A) 42.5%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

SD Raiders face Sydney FC B in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SD Raiders a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Sydney FC B 43%, so Sydney FC B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for SD Raiders and 1.8 for Sydney FC B (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SD Raiders are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Sydney FC B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.4%.

SD Raiders vs Sydney FC B Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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