Sutherland S. vs NWS Spirit Prediction & Tips

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Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 16 Seymour Shaw Park Saturday, May 23, 2026 06:00

Sutherland S. PPG 1.29

1-0 HIT CS3

NWS Spirit PPG 1.29

Home· +16.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.4%

Odds: 2.75 EV: +16.6%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -0.4%

Away 29.2%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -20.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.70 -19.1%

Over 3.5 24.0% Odds: 2.75 -20.4%

BTTS 52.0% Odds: 1.55 -19.4%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✔

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sutherland S.

1.33

NWS Spirit

1.16

Model SuggestionBTTS -19.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -19.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+16.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.29)