Today / Queanbeyan City vs Gungahlin Juven

Queanbeyan City vs Gungahlin Juven Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Queanbeyan City
PPG 2.25 · HOME
3 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Gungahlin Juven
PPG 2.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-14.4%0-23.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.4%1-19.0%1-26.4%1-33.0%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.6%2-19.3%2-26.6%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.5%3-16.4%3-24.5%3-32.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-15.3%4+-23.7%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.7%
Draw 24.0%
Away win 24.3%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Over 3.5 45.8%
BTTS 59.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.7%

H 52% / xG 2.1-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%
#2 2–1 9.3%
#3 2–2 6.6%
#4 2–0 6.6%
#5 1–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Queanbeyan City2.1
Gungahlin Juven1.4

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 45.8%

Form & verdict PPG

QUEANBEYAN CITY · PPG 2.25

GUNGAHLIN JUVEN · PPG 2.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.25), Away EXCELLENT (2.40)

Win probability 1X2

Queanbeyan City (H) 51.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Gungahlin Juven (A) 24.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Queanbeyan City face Gungahlin Juven on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Queanbeyan City a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Gungahlin Juven 24%, so Queanbeyan City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Queanbeyan City and 1.4 for Gungahlin Juven (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Queanbeyan City are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 2.40 for Gungahlin Juven. This match finished 3-1.

PredictVantage

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