Today / Nittaidai W vs Iga Kunoichi W

Nittaidai W vs Iga Kunoichi W Prediction

Saturday, May 23, 2026

Nittaidai W
PPG 1.40 · HOME
5 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY
Iga Kunoichi W
PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.40) vs Away GOOD (1.75)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-18.6%0-29.7%0-37.2%0-4+6.8%1 1-03.9%1-18.8%1-29.8%1-37.3%1-4+6.9%2 2-02.0%2-14.5%2-25.0%2-33.7%2-4+3.5%3 3-00.7%3-11.5%3-21.7%3-31.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 14.4%
Draw 23.2%
Away win 62.4%
Over 2.5 61.4%
Over 3.5 40.9%
BTTS 56.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 5-0
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob56.3%

A 62% / xG 1.0-2.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%
#2 1–2 9.8%
#3 0–2 9.7%
#4 0–1 8.6%
#5 1–3 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nittaidai W1.0
Iga Kunoichi W2.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 40.9%

Form & verdict PPG

NITTAIDAI W · PPG 1.40

IGA KUNOICHI W · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.40) vs Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Nittaidai W (H) 14.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Iga Kunoichi W (A) 62.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nittaidai W face Iga Kunoichi W on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nittaidai W a 14% chance, the draw 23% and Iga Kunoichi W 62%, so Iga Kunoichi W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Nittaidai W and 2.2 for Iga Kunoichi W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nittaidai W are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.75 for Iga Kunoichi W. This match finished 5-0.

PredictVantage

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