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Vora vs Vllaznia S. Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Vora

PPG 1.20 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Vllaznia S.

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.3%0-115.8%0-26.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.6%1-112.9%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-06.8%2-15.3%2-22.0%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.8%3-11.4%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.5% 34.5% 2.90 -2.9%

Draw 35.4% 31.3% 3.20 +13.3%

Away win 31.1% 44.4% 2.25 -30.0%

Over 2.5 21.5% 42.0% 2.38 -48.8%

Over 3.5 7.8% — — —

BTTS 30.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob30.1%

D 35% / xG 0.8-0.8 / U2.5 22% / NoBTTS 30%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 20.3%

#2 1–0 16.6%

#3 0–1 15.8%

#4 1–1 12.9%

#5 2–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vora0.8

Vllaznia S.0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 21.5% · O3.5 PROB 7.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VORA · PPG 1.20

VLLAZNIA S. · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Vora (H) 33.5%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -2.9%

Draw 35.4%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +13.3%

Vllaznia S. (A) 31.1%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -30.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vora face Vllaznia S. in Albania - Superliga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vora a 34% chance, the draw 35% and Vllaznia S. 31%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Vora and 0.8 for Vllaznia S. (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 22% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 30% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vora are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.20 for Vllaznia S.. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +13.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Vora vs Vllaznia S. Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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