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Egnatia R. vs Flamurtari Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Albania - Superliga logo Albania flag Albania - Superliga Regular Season - 32 Demrozi Stadium Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Egnatia R. logo Egnatia R. PPG 1.93
0-2 MISS
Flamurtari logo Flamurtari PPG 0.73
Home· +8.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Egnatia R. face Flamurtari in Albania - Superliga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Egnatia R. a 80% chance, the draw 15% and Flamurtari 6%, so Egnatia R. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Egnatia R. and 0.4 for Flamurtari (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Egnatia R. are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 0.73 for Flamurtari. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +8.4%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 79.7%
Odds: 1.36 EV: +8.4%
Draw 14.8%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -39.3%
Away 5.5%
Odds: 7.50 EV: -58.8%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.5% Odds: 2.05 +5.6%
Over 3.5 29.4% Odds: —
BTTS 31.8% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 4-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Egnatia R.
2.30
Flamurtari
0.44

Model Suggestion

Home +8.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.93), Away POOR (0.73) - Strong consensus

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org