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Lithuania - 1 Lyga logo Lithuania flag Lithuania - 1 Lyga Regular Season - 11 Alytus Stadium· Dainava Friday, May 22, 2026 16:00
Dainava logo Dainava PPG 3.00
1-2 HIT CS2
Be1 NFA logo Be1 NFA PPG 2.20
Over3.5· +12.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.1%
Odds: 2.70 EV: -5.2%
Draw 23.7%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -7.4%
Away 41.2%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -11.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.6% Odds: 1.65 +3.3%
Over 3.5 43.6% Odds: 2.59 +12.9%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.53 -8.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Dainava
1.59
Be1 NFA
1.79

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +3.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+12.9%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (3.00) > Away EXCELLENT (2.20)

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