Today / IA Akranes vs IBV
IA Akranes vs IBV Prediction
Thursday, May 21, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 54% / xG 2.3-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 46.3%
Form & verdict
IA AKRANES · PPG 0.50
IBV · PPG 0.00
No PPG data
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
IA Akranes face IBV on Thursday, May 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IA Akranes a 54% chance, the draw 24% and IBV 22%, so IA Akranes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for IA Akranes and 1.2 for IBV (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IA Akranes are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.00 for IBV. This match finished 2-2.