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Latvia - Virsliga logo Latvia flag Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 14 Stadions Celtnieks· Daugavpils Thursday, May 21, 2026 15:00
Daugavpils logo Daugavpils PPG 1.29
3-1 MISS
Ogre United logo Ogre United PPG 0.00
Away· +22.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
40% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.2%
Odds: 1.44 EV: -23.4%
Draw 24.7%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +2.2%
Away 22.1%
Odds: 6.20 EV: +22.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.62 -4.3%
Over 3.5 33.5% Odds: 2.50 -16.3%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.70 -10.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Daugavpils
2.02
Ogre United
0.90

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -4.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -4.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+22.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

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