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Latvia - Virsliga Thursday, May 21, 2026 17:00 
RFS PPG 2.17 
FS Jelgava PPG 1.00
Latvia - Virsliga Thursday, May 21, 2026 17:00 RFS PPG 2.174-0 HIT CS4
FS Jelgava PPG 1.00Draw· +35.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 61.0% Odds: 1.36 -17.0%
Over 3.5 37.5% Odds: 1.93 -27.6%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 2.15 +4.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 3-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 4-0 ✔
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
RFS 2.57
FS Jelgava 0.53
Model Suggestion
Home -24.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -24.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+35.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+35.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
STRONG_HOME 66%
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.17), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus