Today / Wadi Degla vs ZED FC

Wadi Degla vs ZED FC Prediction

Thursday, May 21, 2026

Wadi Degla

PPG 1.63 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

ZED FC

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.0%0-113.7%0-25.6%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.4%1-113.2%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.9%2-16.4%2-22.6%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.5%3-12.0%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.1% — — —

Draw 35.2% — — —

Away win 26.8% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 10.4% — — —

BTTS 46.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.8%

H 38% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.0%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 16.4%

#4 0–1 13.7%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wadi Degla1.0

ZED FC0.8

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.4%

Form & verdict PPG

WADI DEGLA · PPG 1.63

ZED FC · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Wadi Degla (H) 38.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

ZED FC (A) 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wadi Degla face ZED FC on Thursday, May 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wadi Degla a 38% chance, the draw 35% and ZED FC 27%, so Wadi Degla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Wadi Degla and 0.8 for ZED FC (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wadi Degla are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.31 for ZED FC. This match finished 2-2.

Wadi Degla vs ZED FC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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