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BATE Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Regular Season - 8 ·Wednesday, May 20, 2026, 17:30

BATE Borisov

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Dinamo Minsk

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.6%0-115.7%0-211.6%0-35.7%0-4+2.9%1 1-08.1%1-112.0%1-28.9%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-03.1%2-14.6%2-23.4%2-31.7%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.8%3-11.2%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.9% 20.0% 5.00 +11.7%

Draw 28.9% 27.8% 3.60 +2.4%

Away win 47.2% 64.5% 1.55 -26.8%

Over 2.5 46.2% 52.9% 1.89 -12.7%

Over 3.5 18.9% 33.4% 2.99 -26.1%

BTTS 48.6% 52.4% 1.91 -7.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -16.9%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob48.6%

A 47% / xG 0.8-1.5 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 15.7%

#2 1–1 12.0%

#3 0–0✓ 10.6%

#4 0–2 11.6%

#5 1–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BATE Borisov0.8

Dinamo Minsk1.5

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BATE BORISOV · PPG 1.00

DINAMO MINSK · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

BATE Borisov (H) 23.9%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +11.7%

Draw 28.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +2.4%

Dinamo Minsk (A) 47.2%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -26.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

BATE Borisov face Dinamo Minsk in Belarus - Premier League on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BATE Borisov a 24% chance, the draw 29% and Dinamo Minsk 47%, so Dinamo Minsk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for BATE Borisov and 1.5 for Dinamo Minsk (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BATE Borisov are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 3.00 for Dinamo Minsk. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.7%. This match finished 0-0.

BATE Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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