Today / Kongsvinger vs Odd

Kongsvinger vs Odd Prediction

Wednesday, May 20, 2026

Kongsvinger

PPG 3.00 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Odd

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (3.00), Away EXCELLENT (3.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-17.6%0-24.6%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.8%1-111.8%1-27.2%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.6%2-19.2%2-25.6%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.9%3-14.8%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.6%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.3% — — —

Draw 26.2% — — —

Away win 26.5% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 30.1% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 47% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 0–0 6.3%

#4 1–0 9.8%

#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kongsvinger1.6

Odd1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KONGSVINGER · PPG 3.00

ODD · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (3.00), Away EXCELLENT (3.00)

Win probability 1X2

Kongsvinger (H) 47.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Odd (A) 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kongsvinger face Odd on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kongsvinger a 47% chance, the draw 26% and Odd 27%, so Kongsvinger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Kongsvinger and 1.2 for Odd (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kongsvinger are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 3.00 for Odd. This match finished 4-2.

Kongsvinger vs Odd Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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