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Odishi 1919 vs Samtredia Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Regular Season - 14 ·Wednesday, May 20, 2026, 12:00

Odishi 1919

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Samtredia

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=48.6%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-17.5%0-24.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.1%1-111.8%1-26.9%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.3%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.2%3-14.9%3-22.9%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.8%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.6% — — —

Draw 25.8% — — —

Away win 25.6% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 29.7% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.8%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 10.1%

#4 0–0 6.4%

#5 2–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odishi 19191.6

Samtredia1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ODISHI 1919 · PPG 1.50

SAMTREDIA · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=48.6%

Win probability 1X2

Odishi 1919 (H) 48.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Samtredia (A) 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Odishi 1919 face Samtredia in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odishi 1919 a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Samtredia 26%, so Odishi 1919 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Odishi 1919 and 1.2 for Samtredia (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odishi 1919 are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.50 for Samtredia. This match finished 1-1.

Odishi 1919 vs Samtredia Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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