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Zamalek vs Ceramica C. Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Championship Group - 7 ·Wednesday, May 20, 2026, 17:00

Zamalek

PPG 2.15 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Ceramica C.

PPG 1.58 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.9%0-113.3%0-24.6%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.3%1-112.8%1-24.5%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.8%2-16.2%2-22.2%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.8%3-12.0%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.9% 60.2% 1.66 -32.1%

Draw 34.1% 29.9% 3.35 +14.2%

Away win 24.9% 18.9% 5.30 +19.2%

Over 2.5 35.0% 45.5% 2.20 -23.0%

Over 3.5 8.8% 23.8% 4.20 -37.8%

BTTS 46.2% 48.8% 2.05 -5.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.2%

H 41% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.9%

#2 1–0✓ 18.3%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 0–1 13.3%

#5 2–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zamalek1.0

Ceramica C.0.7

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 8.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ZAMALEK · PPG 2.15

CERAMICA C. · PPG 1.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.15) > Away GOOD (1.58)

Win probability 1X2

Zamalek (H) 40.9%

ODDS 1.66 · IMPLIED 60.2% EV -32.1%

Draw 34.1%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +14.2%

Ceramica C. (A) 24.9%

ODDS 5.30 · IMPLIED 18.9% EV +19.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zamalek face Ceramica C. in Egypt - Premier League on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zamalek a 41% chance, the draw 34% and Ceramica C. 25%, so Zamalek are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Zamalek and 0.7 for Ceramica C. (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zamalek are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 1.58 for Ceramica C.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +19.2%. This match finished 1-0.

Zamalek vs Ceramica C. Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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