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Finland - Veikkausliiga logo Finland flag Finland - Veikkausliiga Regular Season - 15 Vare Areena· Kuopio Wednesday, May 20, 2026 16:00
KuPS logo KuPS PPG 2.00
3-0 HIT CS5
Jaro logo Jaro PPG 0.50
Away· +12.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.0%
Odds: 1.38 EV: -20.0%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +6.5%
Away 15.6%
Odds: 7.70 EV: +12.1%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.70 -21.5%
Over 3.5 16.1% Odds: 2.75 -33.4%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 1.85 -14.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 0-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

KuPS
1.63
Jaro
0.47

Model Suggestion

Home -20.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -20.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+12.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5/Under 27%
BTTS/No 27%
Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=58.0%

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