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Estonia - Meistriliiga logo Estonia flag Estonia - Meistriliiga Regular Season - 13 Narva Kalev-Fama staadion· Narva Wednesday, May 20, 2026 16:00
Narva Trans logo Narva Trans PPG 1.00
1-0 MISS
Paide logo Paide PPG 1.83
Over3.5· +18.9% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.8%
Odds: 5.40 EV: -15.3%
Draw 21.3%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -6.3%
Away 64.9%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -4.0%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.50 -4.2%
Over 3.5 51.7% Odds: 2.30 +18.9%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.60 -4.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-3
4th 0-3
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Narva Trans
1.05
Paide
2.71

Model Suggestion

Away -4.0% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-4.0%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 39%
ROI -3.3%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.83) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

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