← Back to picks 
Estonia - Meistriliiga Wednesday, May 20, 2026 16:00 
Kuressaare PPG 1.00 
Nomme Utd PPG 0.67
Estonia - Meistriliiga Wednesday, May 20, 2026 16:00 Kuressaare PPG 1.002-1 HIT CS3
Nomme Utd PPG 0.67Over3.5· +26.7% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.53 -2.2%
Over 3.5 53.9% Odds: 2.35 +26.7%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.45 -8.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✔
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 1-3 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Kuressaare 1.90
Nomme Utd 1.97
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -2.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 26 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 39%
ROI -3.3%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
MODERATE_HOME 75%
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.67)