Today / Telavi vs Bolnisi

Telavi vs Bolnisi Prediction

Wednesday, May 20, 2026

Telavi

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Bolnisi

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.5%0-114.3%0-25.8%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.2%1-113.2%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.5%2-16.1%2-22.5%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.3%3-11.9%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.7% — — —

Draw 35.2% — — —

Away win 27.2% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 10.0% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.2%

H 38% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.5%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 16.2%

#4 0–1 14.3%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Telavi0.9

Bolnisi0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TELAVI · PPG 2.00

BOLNISI · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=37.7%

Win probability 1X2

Telavi (H) 37.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bolnisi (A) 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Telavi face Bolnisi on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Telavi a 38% chance, the draw 35% and Bolnisi 27%, so Telavi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Telavi and 0.8 for Bolnisi (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Telavi are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.83 for Bolnisi. This match finished 2-1.

Telavi vs Bolnisi Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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