Today / Zhejiang vs Shandong T.

Zhejiang vs Shandong T. Prediction

Wednesday, May 20, 2026

Zhejiang

PPG 1.50 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Shandong T.

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away GOOD (1.80)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-19.5%0-26.1%0-32.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.7%1-112.5%1-28.1%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.4%2-18.3%2-25.3%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.8%3-13.6%3-22.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.6%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% — — —

Draw 27.2% — — —

Away win 36.6% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 26.7% — — —

BTTS 52.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.8%

H 36% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.3%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 1–2 8.1%

#5 1–0 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zhejiang1.3

Shandong T.1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 26.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ZHEJIANG · PPG 1.50

SHANDONG T. · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Zhejiang (H) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shandong T. (A) 36.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zhejiang face Shandong T. on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zhejiang a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Shandong T. 37%, so Shandong T. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Zhejiang and 1.3 for Shandong T. (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zhejiang are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.80 for Shandong T.. This match finished 4-1.

Zhejiang vs Shandong T. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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