Today / Al Tadhamon vs Al Qadsia

Al Tadhamon vs Al Qadsia Prediction

Tuesday, May 19, 2026

Al Tadhamon

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Al Qadsia

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-112.9%0-211.7%0-37.0%0-4+4.8%1 1-06.0%1-110.8%1-29.7%1-35.8%1-4+4.0%2 2-02.5%2-14.5%2-24.0%2-32.4%2-4+1.6%3 3-00.7%3-11.2%3-21.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 15.1% — — —

Draw 25.9% — — —

Away win 59.0% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 27.2% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob51.6%

A 59% / xG 0.8-1.8 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 0–2 11.7%

#3 0–1 12.9%

#4 1–2 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Tadhamon0.8

Al Qadsia1.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AL TADHAMON · PPG 1.00

AL QADSIA · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Al Tadhamon (H) 15.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Qadsia (A) 59.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Tadhamon face Al Qadsia on Tuesday, May 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Tadhamon a 15% chance, the draw 26% and Al Qadsia 59%, so Al Qadsia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Al Tadhamon and 1.8 for Al Qadsia (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Tadhamon are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.29 for Al Qadsia. This match finished 2-2.

Al Tadhamon vs Al Qadsia Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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