Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction & Tips

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England - Premier League Regular Season - 37 Stamford Bridge· London Tuesday, May 19, 2026 19:15

Chelsea PPG 1.28

2-1 HIT CS2

Tottenham PPG 1.44

Away· +0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.0%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -8.8%

Draw 26.0%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -6.2%

Away 26.0%

Odds: 3.90 EV: +0.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.65 -13.2%

Over 3.5 30.0% Odds: 2.60 -22.0%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.55 -15.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Chelsea

1.56

Tottenham

1.20

Model SuggestionBTTS -15.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+0.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.28), Away AVERAGE (1.44)