Today / Flora vs Tammeka

Flora vs Tammeka Prediction

Tuesday, May 19, 2026

Flora
PPG 2.50 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Tammeka
PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-14.4%0-22.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.1%1-19.3%1-24.2%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.8%2-19.9%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.7%3-17.0%3-23.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-06.7%4+-16.1%4+-22.8%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 54.6%
Draw 23.6%
Away win 21.8%
Over 2.5 59.1%
Over 3.5 36.3%
BTTS 52.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 55% / xG 2.1-0.9 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.8%
#2 1–1 9.3%
#3 2–1 9.9%
#4 1–0 10.1%
#5 3–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flora2.1
Tammeka0.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FLORA · PPG 2.50

TAMMEKA · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=54.6%

Win probability 1X2

Flora (H) 54.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Tammeka (A) 21.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Flora face Tammeka on Tuesday, May 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flora a 55% chance, the draw 24% and Tammeka 22%, so Flora are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Flora and 0.9 for Tammeka (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flora are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.17 for Tammeka.

PredictVantage

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