Today / Shenzhen vs Dalian Yingbo

Shenzhen vs Dalian Yingbo Prediction

Tuesday, May 19, 2026

Shenzhen

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Dalian Yingbo

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-14.5%0-23.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.9%1 1-05.9%1-19.0%1-26.9%1-33.5%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.9%2-19.0%2-26.9%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.9%3-16.0%3-24.6%3-32.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-14.7%4+-23.6%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.6% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 26.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 46.8% — — —

BTTS 62.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.4%

H 50% / xG 2.0-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 9.0%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shenzhen2.0

Dalian Yingbo1.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SHENZHEN · PPG 1.50

DALIAN YINGBO · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Shenzhen (H) 49.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dalian Yingbo (A) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shenzhen face Dalian Yingbo on Tuesday, May 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shenzhen a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Dalian Yingbo 26%, so Shenzhen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Shenzhen and 1.5 for Dalian Yingbo (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shenzhen are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Dalian Yingbo. This match finished 1-1.

Shenzhen vs Dalian Yingbo Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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