Today / AB Argir vs Vikingur

AB Argir vs Vikingur Prediction

Monday, May 18, 2026

AB Argir
PPG 1.75 · HOME
2 – 3
FULL TIME
Vikingur
PPG 0.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.9%0-115.6%0-27.2%0-32.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.4%1-113.3%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.1%2-15.7%2-22.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.8%3-11.6%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 33.1%
Draw 32.6%
Away win 34.3%
Over 2.5 35.0%
Over 3.5 10.5%
BTTS 47.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-3
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.8%

D 33% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.9%
#2 1–1 13.3%
#3 0–1 15.6%
#4 1–0 14.4%
#5 0–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AB Argir0.9
Vikingur0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.5%

Form & verdict PPG

AB ARGIR · PPG 1.75

VIKINGUR · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=33.1%

Win probability 1X2

AB Argir (H) 33.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 32.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Vikingur (A) 34.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

AB Argir face Vikingur on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AB Argir a 33% chance, the draw 33% and Vikingur 34%, so Vikingur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for AB Argir and 0.9 for Vikingur (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AB Argir are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.50 for Vikingur. This match finished 2-3.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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