Today / Egypt - Premier League / El Geish vs Pharco
El Geish vs Pharco Prediction— Egypt - Premier League
Relegation Group - 11 ·Monday, May 18, 2026, 14:00
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 54 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 35% / xG 0.8-0.5 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 39%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 3.9%
Form & verdict
EL GEISH · PPG 1.50
PHARCO · PPG 0.60
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=35.4%
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
El Geish face Pharco in Egypt - Premier League on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives El Geish a 35% chance, the draw 41% and Pharco 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for El Geish and 0.5 for Pharco (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, El Geish are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.60 for Pharco. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +18.0%. This match finished 1-0.