Today / B71 Sandur vs Hoyvik

B71 Sandur vs Hoyvik Prediction

Monday, May 18, 2026

B71 Sandur
PPG 2.25 · HOME
5 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5
Hoyvik
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 8.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.0%0-10.0%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.1%1-10.2%1-20.2%1-30.1%1-4+0.1%2 2-00.4%2-10.7%2-20.7%2-30.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.8%3-11.6%3-21.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-012.4%4+-124.6%4+-224.5%4+-316.2%4+-4+12.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 76.0%
Draw 16.6%
Away win 7.5%
Over 2.5 94.8%
Over 3.5 97.4%
BTTS 66.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 5-1
xG (home)6.7 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob66.7%

H 76% / xG 6.7-2.0 / O2.5 95% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–1 3.7%
#2 5–2 3.7%
#3 4–1 2.8%
#4 4–2 2.8%
#5 5–3 2.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B71 Sandur6.7
Hoyvik2.0

COMBINED 8.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 94.8% · O3.5 PROB 97.4%

Form & verdict PPG

B71 SANDUR · PPG 2.25

HOYVIK · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

B71 Sandur (H) 76.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 16.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hoyvik (A) 7.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

B71 Sandur face Hoyvik on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B71 Sandur a 76% chance, the draw 17% and Hoyvik 8%, so B71 Sandur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 6.7 for B71 Sandur and 2.0 for Hoyvik (8.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-1. There is a 95% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B71 Sandur are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Hoyvik. This match finished 5-1.

PredictVantage

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