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Egypt - Premier League logo Egypt flag Egypt - Premier League Relegation Group - 11 El-Gazel Stadium· El Mahalla El Kubra Monday, May 18, 2026 17:00
Ghazl El M. logo Ghazl El M. PPG 1.20
1-0 HIT CS2
Al Ittihad logo Al Ittihad PPG 0.75
Home· +13.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.3%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +13.0%
Draw 40.8%
Odds: 2.54 EV: +3.6%
Away 23.9%
Odds: 2.62 EV: -22.4%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 25.8% Odds: 3.40 -7.4%
Over 3.5 4.4% Odds: 7.50 -40.2%
BTTS 41.8% Odds: 2.45 +2.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Ghazl El M.
0.76
Al Ittihad
0.55

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.75)

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