Today / A. Contractors vs Wadi Degla

A. Contractors vs Wadi Degla Prediction

Monday, May 18, 2026

A. Contractors
PPG 1.06 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
Wadi Degla
PPG 1.57 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.6%0-119.3%0-29.0%0-32.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.3%1-112.4%1-25.8%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-04.3%2-14.0%2-21.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-00.9%3-10.9%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 28.1%
Draw 34.3%
Away win 37.5%
Over 2.5 35.0%
Over 3.5 7.6%
BTTS 46.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob46.2%

D 34% / xG 0.6-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.6%
#2 0–1 19.3%
#3 1–1 12.4%
#4 1–0 13.3%
#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Contractors0.6
Wadi Degla0.9

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 7.6%

Form & verdict PPG

A. CONTRACTORS · PPG 1.06

WADI DEGLA · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.57) vs Home AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

A. Contractors (H) 28.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 34.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Wadi Degla (A) 37.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Contractors face Wadi Degla on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Contractors a 28% chance, the draw 34% and Wadi Degla 38%, so Wadi Degla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for A. Contractors and 0.9 for Wadi Degla (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Contractors are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.57 for Wadi Degla. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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