Today / Al Jahra vs Al Arabi SC

Al Jahra vs Al Arabi SC Prediction

Monday, May 18, 2026

Al Jahra

PPG 0.57 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Al Arabi SC

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.57)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-112.5%0-215.7%0-313.1%0-4+14.8%1 1-02.5%1-16.2%1-27.7%1-36.4%1-4+7.3%2 2-00.6%2-11.5%2-21.9%2-31.6%2-4+1.8%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 9.8% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 68.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 35.1% — — —

BTTS 47.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob47.8%

A 68% / xG 0.5-2.5 / O2.5 59% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 15.7%

#2 0–3✓ 13.1%

#3 0–1 12.5%

#4 0–4 8.2%

#5 1–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Jahra0.5

Al Arabi SC2.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 35.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AL JAHRA · PPG 0.57

AL ARABI SC · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Al Jahra (H) 9.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Arabi SC (A) 68.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jahra face Al Arabi SC on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jahra a 10% chance, the draw 22% and Al Arabi SC 68%, so Al Arabi SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Al Jahra and 2.5 for Al Arabi SC (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jahra are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 2.00 for Al Arabi SC. This match finished 0-3.

Al Jahra vs Al Arabi SC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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