Today / Brest vs Angers

Brest vs Angers Prediction

Sunday, May 17, 2026

Brest

PPG 1.56 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Angers

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.56) vs P(Home)=50.8%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-17.8%0-23.7%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.8%1-112.1%1-25.7%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.9%2-19.4%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.1%3-14.8%3-22.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.6%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.8% — — —

Draw 25.4% — — —

Away win 23.9% — — —

Over 2.5 47.6% — — —

Over 3.5 24.0% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.6%

H 51% / xG 1.5-0.9 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.1%

#2 1–0 12.8%

#3 0–0 8.3%

#4 2–0 9.9%

#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brest1.5

Angers0.9

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 24.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BREST · PPG 1.56

ANGERS · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.56) vs P(Home)=50.8%

Win probability 1X2

Brest (H) 50.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Angers (A) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brest face Angers on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brest a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Angers 24%, so Brest are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Brest and 0.9 for Angers (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brest are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 0.75 for Angers. This match finished 1-1.

Brest vs Angers Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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