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Hong-Kong - Premier League Sunday, May 17, 2026 10:00 
Kitchee PPG 2.50 
Eastern SC PPG 1.10
Hong-Kong - Premier League Sunday, May 17, 2026 10:00 Kitchee PPG 2.504-4 MISS
Eastern SC PPG 1.10Over3.5· +19.5% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.48 -5.4%
Over 3.5 54.3% Odds: 2.20 +19.5%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.50 -10.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 3-1 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Kitchee 2.65
Eastern SC 1.23
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -5.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-5.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 16 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 25%
O2.5/Under 69%
BTTS/No 75%
Score Hit 19%
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=59.0%