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Sturm Graz W vs Austria Wien W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Championship Group - 22 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 09:30

Sturm Graz W

PPG 1.44 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Austria Wien W

PPG 2.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.45) vs Home AVERAGE (1.44)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-112.4%0-213.1%0-39.3%0-4+8.0%1 1-04.2%1-18.9%1-29.5%1-36.7%1-4+5.7%2 2-01.5%2-13.2%2-23.4%2-32.4%2-4+2.1%3 3-00.4%3-10.8%3-20.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.7% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 64.3% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 50.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob50.3%

A 64% / xG 0.7-2.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.1%

#2 0–1 12.4%

#3 1–1 8.9%

#4 1–2✓ 9.5%

#5 0–3 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sturm Graz W0.7

Austria Wien W2.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

STURM GRAZ W · PPG 1.44

AUSTRIA WIEN W · PPG 2.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.45) vs Home AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

Sturm Graz W (H) 13.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Austria Wien W (A) 64.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sturm Graz W face Austria Wien W in Austria - Frauenliga on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sturm Graz W a 14% chance, the draw 22% and Austria Wien W 64%, so Austria Wien W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Sturm Graz W and 2.1 for Austria Wien W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sturm Graz W are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 2.45 for Austria Wien W. This match finished 1-2.

Sturm Graz W vs Austria Wien W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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