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Comunicaciones vs A. Quilmes Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 18:30

Comunicaciones

PPG 1.86 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

A. Quilmes

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.2%0-111.8%0-24.1%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.4%1-112.7%1-24.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.9%2-16.8%2-22.3%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.5%3-12.4%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.4% 54.1% 1.85 -19.7%

Draw 32.7% 32.3% 3.10 +1.4%

Away win 23.9% 23.8% 4.20 +0.2%

Over 2.5 35.0% 38.5% 2.60 -9.0%

Over 3.5 10.2% 20.0% 5.00 -29.4%

BTTS 46.2% 45.5% 2.20 +1.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.2%

H 43% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 17.2%

#2 1–0 18.4%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 0–1 11.8%

#5 2–0 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Comunicaciones1.1

A. Quilmes0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.2%

Form & verdict PPG

COMUNICACIONES · PPG 1.86

A. QUILMES · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.86) vs P(Home)=43.4%

Win probability 1X2

Comunicaciones (H) 43.4%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -19.7%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +1.4%

A. Quilmes (A) 23.9%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +0.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Comunicaciones face A. Quilmes in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Comunicaciones a 43% chance, the draw 33% and A. Quilmes 24%, so Comunicaciones are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Comunicaciones and 0.7 for A. Quilmes (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Comunicaciones are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 0.71 for A. Quilmes. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +1.6%. This match finished 0-0.

Comunicaciones vs A. Quilmes Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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